The impact of futures skills on decision-making

Hoefnagels, James and Ott, Jan David and Berger, Jan (2024) The impact of futures skills on decision-making. Prosperitas, 11 (4). pp. 1-18. ISSN 2786-4359 (Online)

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Official URL: https://prosperitas.uni-bge.hu/publication/?id=252

Abstract

This study analyses the work between a global dairy company and a corporate foresight consultancy over a four-year, three-project span. It evaluates the development of two primary futures skills: anticipation and cognitive flexibility, and their impact on decision-making. This study was conducted by employing a thematic analysis of semi-structured interviews with company personnel involved in these projects. The interviews covered the participants’ experiences, the use of the selected futures skills, and the impact on decision-making. The interviews were coded, and emergent themes were identified and refined. While there were no direct changes to decisions because of the projects, the futures work has influenced the participants’ futures skills, namely anticipation and cognitive flexibility. This influence, in turn, had a discernible impact on their decision-making processes and the company’s decision-making culture.

Tudományterület / tudományág

társadalomtudományok > gazdálkodás- és szervezéstudományok

Institution

Budapesti Gazdasági Egyetem

Item Type: Article
Creators:
CreatorsORCIDMTMT szerző azonosító
Hoefnagels, James
Ott, Jan David
Berger, Jan
Uncontrolled Keywords: Corporate foresight, futures skills, anticipation, cognitive flexibility, decision-making
Depositing User: Kinga Eszenyi-Bakos
Identification Number: 35470430
DOI azonosító: https://doi.org/10.31570/prosp_2024_0106
Date Deposited: 2024. Oct. 21. 13:03
Last Modified: 2025. Feb. 26. 11:10
URI: https://publikaciotar.uni-bge.hu/id/eprint/2310

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